Monga kusokonezeka pakati pa Ukraine ndi Russia kumapitiliza, mtengo wa zitsulo zapadziko lapansi umakhala uku.

Chingerezi: Abider Shaikmahmud, Maulendo amtsogolo

Ngakhale zovuta zomwe zimayambitsidwa ndi mliri wa Coviid-19 sizinachiritsidwe, anthu padziko lonse lapansi akwaniritsa nkhondo ya ku Russia. M'malingaliro okwera chifukwa chachikulu, nkhawa yayikulu, izi zitha kupitilira mitengo yamafuta, kuphatikiza minda yofananira monga feteleza.

Kuchokera ku golide kupita ku Palladium, makampani ogulitsa achitsulo padziko lapansi komanso ngakhale dziko lingakumane ndi nyengo yoipa. Russia ikhoza kukumana ndi mavuto ambiri kuti mukwaniritse 45% ya Palladium Palladium, chifukwa makampaniwo ali kale pamavuto ndipo akufuna kupitirira zomwe zingachitike. Kuphatikiza apo, chifukwa kusamvana, zoletsa paulendo zimakulitsa zovuta za palladium. Padziko lonse lapansi, Palladium imagwiritsidwa ntchito popanga otembenuka agalimoto kuti achepetse zovulaza kuchokera ku injini za mafuta kapena dizilo.

Russia ndi Ukraine ndizofunika kwambiri padziko lapansi, zomwe zikugwira nawo gawo lalikulu pamsika wapadziko lonse lapansi. Malinga ndi kuwunika kwamtsogolo kwamtsogolo ndi esomar, pofika 2031, kuchuluka kwa chaka champhamvu champhamvu padziko lonse lapansi kudzakhala 6%, ndipo mayiko onsewa atha kukhala ofunikira. Komabe, poganizira zomwe zikuchitika, kuneneratu kungasinthe kwambiri. Munkhaniyi, tikambirana mozama za kuchuluka kwa mafakitale awa pamtunda womwe umaperekedwa, komanso malingaliro pazomwe zikuyembekezeredwa pa ntchito zazikuluzikulu.

Mavuto mu ukadaulo / chidziwitso chaukadaulo ukhoza kuvulaza zofuna za United States ndi Europe.

Ukraine, ngati gulu lalikulu la ukadaulo ndi ukadaulo, umawerengedwa kuti ndi malo opindulitsa am'mphepete mwa nyanja. Chifukwa chake, kuluka kwa Russia kwa anzawo omwe kale anali Soviet Union kumakhudzanso zokonda za maphwando ambiri, makamaka United States ndi Europe.

Kusokoneza kumeneku kwa ntchito zapadziko lonse kungakhudze zigawo zitatu zazikulu: Mabizinesi akuluakulu a ntchito zakunja kuti azithandizira ponseponse ku Ukraine; Kutumiza ndalama kumapita kumakampani ku maia monga India, komwe kumawonjezera mwayi wawo potumiza zida zochokera ku Ukraine, ndi mabizinesi omwe ali ndi ntchito zankhondo zapadziko lonse.

Zinthu zamtundu wina padziko lapansi zimagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri pazinthu zamagetsi zigawo monga mafoni anzeru, mabizinesi a digito, oyang'anira makompyuta, omwe amawunikiranso kufunika kwa zinthu zapadziko lonse lapansi.

Nkhondoyi yadzetsa nkhawa kwambiri komanso nkhawa zazikulu osati kungotsimikizira kuti matebulo, komanso popanga zida zoiwidwa za ukadaulo wazambiri (izo) ndi zolankhulana. Mwachitsanzo, malo ogawanika a Ukrass ali ndi zinthu zachilengedwe, zofunika kwambiri pamigodi ya lithiam.lifikimu zimagawidwanso ku Kruduzhzhh, malo amgonjetsi a Dortek ndi Povovohrad. Pakadali pano, ntchito migodi m'malowa zasiya, zomwe zingayambitse kusintha kwakukulu kwamitengo yachitsulo padziko lapansi.

Ndalama zomwe zimachitika padziko lonse lapansi zidayambitsa kuchuluka kwa mitengo yachitsulo yapadziko lapansi.

Poona kusatsimikizika kwakukulu komwe kumachitika chifukwa cha nkhondo, maiko padziko lonse lapansi akuyesetsa kulimbitsa chitetezo chawo komanso kuthekera kwa nkhondo, makamaka m'malo mwa magawo omwe ali ku Russia. Mwachitsanzo, mu February 2022, Germany idalengeza kuti igawa ma euro eros ma roros (US $ 113) kukhazikitsa ndalama zapadera zokhala ndi ndalama zapamwamba zomwe zili pamwamba 2% ya GDP.

Izi zimakhudza kwambiri zomwe zimapangidwa padziko lapansi ndi miyala yamtengo wapatali. Njira zomwe zili pamwambazi zimalimbikitsanso kudzipereka kwa dzikolo kuti zikhalebe ndi mphamvu yayikulu padziko lonse lapansi, kuphatikizapo pampando wachitsulo ku Austral, mu 2019 kuti mugwiritse ntchito zitsulo zapadziko lapansi monga Newsmium ndi Praceodmuum.

Pakadali pano, United States ndi yokonzeka kuteteza gawo lake la Nato kuchokera ku zowawa zotseguka za ku Russia. Ngakhale sizikutumiza magulu ankhondo ku Russia, boma lidalengeza kuti lidasankha kuteteza inchi iliyonse pomwe chitetezo chimafunikira kutumizidwa. Chifukwa chake, kuwo lonsekira kwa bajeti yodzitchinjiriza kutha, komwe kungathandize kwambiri kukhala ndi chiyembekezo chodzala zakuthupi zakumtunda.

Zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale makampani ogulitsa mayiko adziko lonse lapansi atha kukhala oyipa kwambiri?

Makampani apadziko lonse lapansi, omwe akuyembekezeka kutembenuka pafupi pakati pa 2022, adzakumana ndi zovuta zambiri chifukwa cha kusamvana pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine. Monga wotsogolera zigawo zofunika pakupanga semiconduc, mpikisanowu ungayambitse zoletsa zoletsa ndikupeza kusowa kwakukulu, komanso mtengo wowonjezereka.

Chifukwa tchipisi a Semiconduct amagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri pazogulitsa zamagetsi zamagetsi, sizosadabwitsa kuti ngakhale kukweza mikangano pang'ono kumabweretsa utatu. Malinga ndi lipoti lamtsogolo la Mlendo Ulalo wonse wa Semiconduct umakhala ndi chilengedwe chovuta, kuphatikiza opanga kuchokera kumadera osiyanasiyana omwe amapereka zida zingapo zopangira, zida, kupanga matekitala ndi mayankho. Kuphatikiza apo, zimaphatikizaponso ogawira ndi opanga makompyuta amakompyuta. Ngakhale mawonekedwe ang'onoang'ono mu uningu amatulutsa chithovu, chomwe chingakhudze nkhawa chilichonse.

Nkhondo imawawerenga, kungakhale kukwera kwakukulu mu malonda apadziko lonse lapansi. Mabizinesi adzayamba kuteteza zofuna zawo ndikumakhala ndi tchipisi ambiri a semiconductoct. Pambuyo pake, izi zimabweretsa kuchepa kwa ndalama zambiri. Koma chinthu chimodzi chomwe chiyenera kutsimikizira ndikuti pamapeto pake zimatha kutha. Kwa kukula kwa msika ndi kukhazikika kwa malonda a semiconducy, ndi nkhani yabwino.

Makampani opanga mabizinesi apadziko lonse amatha kuthana ndi kukana kwakukulu.

Makampani apadziko lonse lapansi amatha kumva kuti ndizofunikira kwambiri za nkhondoyi, makamaka ku Europe. Padziko lonse lapansi, opanga akungoyang'ana pakusankha kuchuluka kwa nkhondo yapadziko lonse ili. Milandu Yadziko Lonse monga Newdymium, Prasonmium ndi Dysprium ndipo nthawi zambiri amagwiritsidwa ntchito ngati maginito okhazikika popanga kuwala, koyenera komanso koyenera kubweretsa kusakwanira.

Malinga ndi kusanthula, makampani opanga magalimoto a ku Europe adzakhudzidwa kwambiri chifukwa cha kusokonekera kwa kupezeka kwa magalimoto ku Ukraine ndi Russia. Chiyambire kumapeto kwa February 2022, makampani angapo apadziko lonse lapansi adasiya kutumiza kuchokera kwa ogulitsa amderalo kupita ku Russia. Kuphatikiza apo, opanga magalimoto opanga magalimoto ali ndi ntchito zopanga zopanga kuti zithetse izi.

Pa february 28th, 2022, a Volkswagen, wopanga magalimoto aku Germany, adalengeza kuti adasankha mafakitale agalimoto awiri chifukwa chowukirali chikasokonekera. Wopanga magalimoto asankha kusiya kupanga mafakitale a ZviCO ndi facren fakitale. Mwa zina zina, kufalikira kwa zingwe zasokonekera kwambiri. Kuphatikiza apo, kupezeka kwa zitsulo zapadziko lonse lapansi kuphatikiza ku Newdmium ndi Dysprium kungakhudzidwenso. 80% yamagalimoto amagetsi amagwiritsa ntchito zitsulo ziwirizi kuti apange mota maginito.

Nkhondo ku Ukraine ikhoza kukhudza kwambiri kupanga mabatire amagetsi, chifukwa Ukraine ndi amene wapanga gawo lalikulu kwambiri ku Nickel ndi aluminim padziko lapansi, ndipo zinthu ziwiri zamtengo wapatali ndizofunikira pakupanga mabatire ndi magalimoto agalimoto. Kuphatikiza apo, neon yopangidwa muakaunti ya Ukraine pafupifupi 70% ya neon yofunikira pazinthu zachilengedwe ndi zina zapamwamba, zomwe zili kale, mtengo wapafupipafupi wa magalimoto ku United States adakwera mpaka kutalika kwatsopano. Chiwerengerochi chitha kukhala chapamwamba chaka chino.

Kodi mavutowo adzakhudza malonda a malonda agolide?

Nkhondo zandale pakati pa Ukraine ndi Russia zadzetsa nkhawa zazikulu komanso nkhawa m'mafakitale akuluakulu. Komabe, zikafika pakukhudza mtengo wa golide, zinthu sizili choncho. Russia ndi amene wapanga golide wamkulu wagolide padziko lonse lapansi, wokhala ndi kambulu wapachaka wa matani 330 matani.

Lipotilo likuwonetsa kuti kuyambira sabata yatha la February 2022, pamene ogulitsa akufuna kuti azigulitsa chuma, mtengo wagolide wawuka kwambiri. Amanenedwa kuti mtengo wagolide wachita 0,3% mpaka 1912.40 US Madola pa Ndege ya US Izi zikuwonetsa kuti ogulitsa ali ndi chiyembekezo chokhudza zitsulo zamtengo wapatali panthawi yamavuto.

Titha kunena kuti golide wofunikira kwambiri wogwiritsa ntchito golide ndi wopanga zinthu zamagetsi. Ndi wochita masewera olimbitsa thupi omwe amagwiritsidwa ntchito mu zolumikizira, kulumikizana mobwerezabwereza, kumasinthira, kuwotchera mafupa, kulumikizidwa mawaya ndi mizere yolumikiza. Ponena za zovuta zenizeni, sizikumveka ngati padzakhala kukhudzika kwa nthawi yayitali. Koma pamene opanga ndalama akufuna kusintha ndalama zawo kumbali zambiri zakale, zikuyembekezeka kuti padzakhala mikangano yochepa, makamaka pakati pa magulu omenyera nkhondo.

Poganizira za mikangano yosalimba kwambiri, nkovuta kuneneratu chitsogozo cha chitukuko cha zikhulupiriro zadziko lapansi. Poona kuti ndi njira yotsogola, ikuwoneka kuti chuma chamsika padziko lonse lapansi chikulowera kwakanthawi kochepa chifukwa cha zitsulo zamtengo wapatali komanso zitsulo zapadziko lonse komanso zamphamvu zidzasokonezedwa munthawi yochepa.

Dziko lafika nthawi yovuta. Pambuyo pa Aronavis (Covid-19) mliri wa mu 2019, pomwe zinthu zitayamba kungosintha, atsogoleri andale adagwiritsa ntchito mwayi woyambitsanso kulumikizana ndi andale. Kuti adziteteze ku masewera awa a mphamvu, opanga amachita chilichonse choteteza kupezeka komwe kulipo ndipo kusiya kupanga komwe kuli kofunikira.

Nthawi yomweyo, akatswiri amayembekeza chiyembekezo. Ngakhale zoletsa zochokera ku Russia ndi Ukraine zitha kuchitika, pali dera lolimba lomwe limakalipodi dera lomwe opanga akufuna kupita ku China. Poganizira kuchuluka kwa zitsulo zamtengo wapatali komanso zida zopangira m'dziko la Asia uno, zoletsa zomwe anthu amamvetsetsa zitha kuyikapo. Chilichonse chimatengera momwe atsogoleri a mayiko awiriwo amachiritsira mkanganowu.

Ab Shaingmahmud ndi wolemba komanso wolemba zam'tsogolo pamsika, kafukufuku wamsika ndi kampani yofufuzira yophunzitsidwa ndi egar.